Dear my foreign Fans/Followers
Due to the situation in Thailand is getting worse ...This week, I would like to postpone a new video on my YouTube channel and photo album on my Facebook page for a while until the situation gets better. My body is fine but I’m quite worried and depressed about this circumstance. I would like to apologize 🥺 and thank you for being concerned and understanding. Please be with us for Thailand 🇹🇭💛 Love you all
.
I heard the similar situation happened in Philippines and Indonesia right now as well [ #edit Thanks for update info to me ...glad to hear that the situation in Philippines and Indonesia is fine now ]
Please stay safe everyone 🥺🙏🏻
#whatishappeninginthailand
(More information in the comment)
同時也有4部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過24萬的網紅竹渕慶 / Kei Takebuchi,也在其Youtube影片中提到,【この動画は、3/20〜21に配信した24時間生配信のアーカイブ(後半)です! This is an archive of the 24hours livestream we did in March.】 みなさん、お元気ですか? 世界中のあらゆる国で外出自粛やロックダウンが行われ、日本も先日7つ...
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circumstance situation 在 李怡 Facebook 的精選貼文
Is a U.S.-China hot war imminent?|Lee Yee
In July, Pompeo claimed the American policy towards China is harsher than the one towards the Soviet Union in the Cold War era. The approach has been shifted from “listening to its words and watching its deeds” to “ignoring its words and only watching its deeds”. Recent developments show that the U.S. is striding closer and closer to a complete de-linkage with China. The recall of the ambassador from China was just a prelude. What followed was the U.S. official interpretation that “one China policy” is not equivalent to “one China principle”, plus the emphasis that “the U.S. holds no specific standpoint towards the sovereignty of Taiwan”. Furthermore, during the visit of Krach, U.S. Under Secretary of State, Tsai Ing-wen stated that “Taiwan has the determination to take the critical step”. Adding fuel to this, Hsiao Bi Khim, Taiwan’s delegate at the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in the U.S., introduced herself as the “Taiwan Ambassador to the U.S.” on Twitter. In view of all these, is the U.S. going to establish diplomatic relation with Taiwan? Will it turn out to be the “October surprise” before the U.S. presidential election? In response, China dispatched fighter jets to violate the airspace of Taiwan, and as “Global Times” put it, “this was not a gesture of warning, but an actual combat exercise of attacking Taiwan”. In return, Taiwan authority urged China “not to underestimate its armed forces' resolve in safeguarding Taiwan”. As tension keeps building up across the Strait, will the U.S. intervene and finally trigger a U.S.-China hot war?
For the last few months, while analyzing the situation, quite a few observers have drawn upon the “Thucydides trap” originated from an ancient Greek historian. According to this theory, when an emerging power threatens to displace an existing great power as an international hegemony, there will be an unavoidable tendency towards war.
To be frank, these observers may have well overestimated the strength of China. Thanks to its huge population, China has become the second largest economic entity in the world. But we are now living in an era that national strength is rather defined by technological advancement. In reality, China is militarily inferior to Russia and technologically lagging far behind major western countries. To put it simply, China is yet to be capable of challenging the American dominance.
Back in the 1980s, in the heyday of its economic development, Japan has significantly outperformed the U.S. in the capital market, and some American scholars have come to the “Japan No.1” conclusion. Despite this, there was never a sign of military confrontation between U.S. and Japan. A decade later, the formation of the European Union posed new challenge to the American supremacy. But again, the two did not come anywhere close to a war. So why has the emergence of China, which in fact lacks the capabilities to overwhelm the U.S., aroused much anticipation of war?
Rudolph Rummel, an American professor of political studies, have made a thorough analysis on the correlation between wars and democracy in human history. After humans surviving a thousand years of darkness, it was not until the independence of the U.S. in 1776 that unveiled a democratic institution with public elections, separation of powers, multi-party system as well as freedom of speech, press, religion and assembly. After more than a hundred years, in 1900 there were only 13 democratic countries in the world. And after another decade, in 2015 the rose to 130, and dictatorial states without meaningful elections have become the minority.
According to Rummel’s statistics, there were 371 wars between 1816 and 2005. Among them, 205 were fought between two dictatorial countries and 166 between democratic and dictatorial ones. Interestingly, there had not been a single war between democratic countries. The conclusion is all too obvious: if there were only democratic states on earth, wars would not happen.
And here lies the fundamental reason why the “Thucydides Trap” has been more valid in the old days when dictatorial systems prevailed, but has failed to apply in contemporary cases between two democratic countries. And it also explains why the competitions between the U.S. and Japan or the EU have not led to any war, while the challenge from China will probably end up differently.
In a democratic system, to wage a war requires a consensus among the government, legislature, media and public opinion. It is rather a matter of the people’s collective will than the ruler’s subjective decision. Whereas within a dictatorial structure, no approval from the legislature is needed, media and public opinion are never respected and judicial challenge simply does not exist. A dictator or oligarch can just go to war at will.
From a dictator’s point of view, whether to enter a war or not is not subject to external circumstance, but the domestic status of his ruling. When a dictator’s position gets shaken by severe economic downturn and widespread public discontent, he will try to divert domestic dissatisfaction by means of foreign maneuvers. The dictator tends to single out those “non-conforming groups”, as so identified by the “little pink” Chinese patriots, and tries bullying them, as what the CCP is doing in India, Hong Kong and Inner Mongolia. The objective is to distract attention with extreme nationalism. More often than not, stirring up external instability has become a tactic to secure domestic stability of the dictator’s rule.
Perhaps a shrewd dictator will weigh up the strength of his counterpart before taking action. Nevertheless, the intrinsically defective system may hinder the dictator from understanding the reality and accessing different views. And personal intellectual and intelligent inadequacies may also breed unrealistic self-inflating belief. The resulted stupidity can make a tragedy more imminent than everyone may expect.
circumstance situation 在 Mẹ Nấm Facebook 的最讚貼文
Dù có những đồng bào làm tôi thấy ngao ngán vì tâm thế của họ, nhưng tôi vẫn làm việc của tôi theo con đường của tôi và tìm kiếm những người bạn mới thực sự muốn thấy tự do và dân chủ cho Việt Nam.
Năm nay tôi là người đầu tiên mở màn cho chiến dịch của Hội Tưởng Niệm các Nạn nhân Cộng sản tại Hoa Kỳ.
Và tôi sẽ không bao giờ im lặng theo cách của mình!
Nguyên văn bài phát biểu :
Kính thưa quý vị,
Hôm nay chúng ta gặp nhau trong một không gian vô cùng đặc biệt vì ảnh hưởng của đại dịch COVID-19.
Tuy nhiên tôi tin rằng hoàn cảnh không thể khiến chúng ta quên đi cuộc đấu tranh của người dân, những nạn nhân ở các nước bị áp bức, giam cầm bởi chế độ cộng sản.
Nếu những ngày này, cả nước Mỹ đang vang lên lời kêu gọi phẫn nộ lẫn thống thiết “Tôi không thể thở” - "I can't breath" thì tại những nước độc tài cộng sản, trong đó có Việt Nam, dân tộc chúng tôi đã không thể thở "We can't breath" trong gần nửa thế kỷ qua.
Tôi đã từng xuất hiện cùng quý vị trong hội thảo năm ngoái như là một nhân chứng sống, một người hoạt động đấu tranh cho nhân quyền, môi trường và tự do dân chủ, một mẹ có hai con nhỏ đã bị nhà cầm quyền cộng sản Việt Nam kết án 10 năm tù chỉ vì thực hiện quyền bày tỏ quan điểm của mình.
Năm ngoái khi tôi có thể tự do phát biểu ở nước Mỹ thì hàng chục người tù chính trị khác tại Việt Nam ở các trại giam phía Bắc như Nghệ An, Thanh Hoá, Hà Tĩnh đang tuyệt thực để phản đối tình trạng ngược đãi tù nhân.
Năm nay, tình trạng này lại tiếp tục tiếp diễn khi Huynh Duc Thanh Binh, một sinh viên yêu nước khác bị đánh đập cùng với những người khác ở Trại giam Xuân Lộc (Đồng Nai).
Từ cuối năm 2019 đến nay đã có thêm nhiều người bị bắt giữ vì thực hiện quyền bày tỏ quan điểm của mình. Họ là nhà báo Phạm Chí Dũng, Youtuber Nguyễn Văn Nghiêm, nhà hoạt động Trần Đức Thạch, nhà báo Phạm Văn Thành, blogger Nguyễn Tường Thuỵ…Theo thống kê chưa chính thức có hơn 239 TNLT đang bị giam giữ từ tháng 1/2020 đến nay và còn rất nhiều trường hợp đang bị giam giữ và chưa đưa ra xét xử.
Bất kỳ một nhà hoạt động Việt Nam nào cũng phải trải qua các hình thức bị sách nhiễu, bị đánh đập và bị giam cầm rồi bị đưa ra xử kín, người dân không được tham dự, hoàn toàn không có sự minh bạch, không có công lý.Vì vậy tôi nghĩ rằng, công việc của tôi vẫn chưa thể dừng lại ngay cả khi tôi đang sống lưu vong.
Những đau khổ, mất mát mà nạn nhân cộng sản phải chịu đựng thì viết cả cuốn sách dày cũng không đủ. Tôi may mắn vì có sự ủng hộ của cộng đồng quốc tế nên có thể chia sẻ cùng quý vị câu chuyện của mình. Nhưng còn những người mẹ khác như Đoàn Thị Hồng – một người xuống đường biểu tình phản đối chính phủ ra dự luật Đặc khu cho Trung Quốc thuê đất 99 năm thì không. Cô ấy phải xa cô con gái chưa đầy 3 tuổi của mình và bị giam cầm đến nay chưa được đem ra xét xử.
Cuộc sống trong trại giam, là những chuỗi ngày khó khăn, bị ngược đãi tinh thần, bị chia cắt với thế giới bên ngoài, bị gây khó khăn trong những chuyến thăm gặp của gia đình... là những điều mà những tù nhân chính trị tại Việt Nam phải đối diện.
Vì vậy tôi mong rằng quý vị hãy tiếp tục quan tâm, lên tiếng và tranh đấu cho họ.
Xin hãy biến sự quan tâm của quý vị thành hành động để hỗ trợ chúng tôi. Hãy tin rằng một tiếng nói, một bài viết, một thỉnh nguyện thư chung, một yêu cầu của quý vị để giải quyết tình trạng hiện tại là một khích lệ lớn lao cho nhân quyền Việt Nam.
Tôi xin gửi lời cám ơn đến VOC vì hàng năm đã có những buổi hội thảo cần thiết để chúng ta có thể tiếp tục lên tiếng cho những nạn nhân ở các nước bị áp bức, giam cầm bởi chế độ cộng sản.
Kính thưa quý vị,
Tôi biết mỗi giờ, mỗi ngày trôi qua có rất nhiều trường hợp vi phạm nhân quyền xảy ra trên toàn thế giới và Việt Nam là một quốc gia được quý vị quan tâm.
Tôi muốn quý vị biết rằng, tiếng nói của quý vị đã bảo vệ được an toàn tối thiểu cho những người bị giam cầm và nhà cầm quyền cộng sản Việt Nam ít nhiều phải e dè khi đối diện với những báo cáo và các chất vấn của quý vị.
Tôi cũng muốn quý vị biết rằng nỗ lực tranh đấu cho tự do đối với những người đã bị giam cầm còn có một ảnh hưởng tích cực lên những người đang hoạt động và chưa bị bắt. Nó đã trao cho họ niềm tin rằng thế giới luôn theo dõi và quan tâm đến họ và họ sẽ không bị bỏ rơi nếu bị giam cầm.
Xin chân thành cám ơn quý vị đã dành thời gian lắng nghe.
----/
English version:
Ladies and gentlemen,
Today we meet in a very special forum because of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
However, I don’t believe this circumstance can make us forget about the struggles of the people, the victims in states of oppression, and those imprisoned by the communist regimes..
If these days, the America speak up with an angry and anguished appeal "I can't breath" - then in the communist dictators, including Vietnam, our people would be in the situation "We can't breath" for nearly half a century.
I attended with you at the 2019 conference as a surviving witness, an activist who fights for human rights, environmental issues and democracy, a single mother of two small kids who was sentenced to 10 years in prison by the Vietnamese communist government for merely exercising the right to express my views.
Last year while I was able to speak freely in the United States, dozens of other political prisoners in Vietnam in northern detention centers like Nghe An, Thanh Hoa and Ha Tinh were going on hunger strike to protest against the abuse of prisoners.
This year, that situation continues when detainee Huynh Duc Thanh Binh, another patriotic student, was beaten along with others at Xuan Loc Detention Center (Dong Nai).
Since the end of 2019, there were more people arrested for exercising their right to free expression. They are freelance journalist Pham Chi Dung, Youtuber Nguyen Van Nghiem, activist Tran Duc Thach, journalist Pham Van Thanh, blogger Nguyen Tuong Thuy ... According to unofficial report, there are more than 239 political prisoners have been unlawfully detained in Vietnam since January 2020, and there are still plenty of cases of detainment without trial.
Any Vietnamese activists would endure and face the hardship of being harassed, beaten, imprisoned and brought to a closed trial, where family & the public of the detainees are not allowed to attend. So I think that my work as an activist, even in exile, is not yet done.
Recounting all hardship and loss suffered by victims of the communism would require us to publish endless volumes of books. I myself am lucky enough to have the support of the international community that I am able to share my own story with you. But other mothers, such as Ms. Doan Thi Hong, who took to the street to protest against the Vietnam Special Economic Zone Lease Project. She was forcefully separated from her 3-year-old daughter and imprisoned without trial until now
Life in prison is an countless chain of difficult days, suffering from physical and mental abuse, being separated from the outside world, facing difficulties against every family visit . These are some of the predicament that political prisoners in Vietnam have to endure every day
So I do hope you all continue to pay your attention, speak up and fight for them.
Please turn your thoughts and compassion into action to support us. Please consider that a voice, an article, a joint petition, or an action alert from you is an encouragement to improve human rights in Vietnam.
I would like to thank the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation for having the seminars every year so that we can continue to stand up for the victims in states of oppresion, and those imprisoned by the communist regimes.
Ladies and gentlemen,
I know that there are many human rights violations happening around the world as every day goes by, and Vietnam is a country in your focus .
I would ask you to focus on your voice of concern that created a platform to protect Vietnamese detainees who are in need the most and would send a strong message to the communist authorities that they must be cautious of your reports and demands.
In addition, I would like to emphasize that your efforts to fight for freedom for those who have been imprisoned also has a positive effects on those who are active and not yet arrested. It has given them the necessary assurance that the world is always watching and being concerned for them and that they will not be abandoned if imprisoned. I hope you continue to pay attention, speak up and fight for political prisoners in Vietnam and around the world.
Thank you so much!
VOC June/2020
circumstance situation 在 竹渕慶 / Kei Takebuchi Youtube 的最讚貼文
【この動画は、3/20〜21に配信した24時間生配信のアーカイブ(後半)です!
This is an archive of the 24hours livestream we did in March.】
みなさん、お元気ですか?
世界中のあらゆる国で外出自粛やロックダウンが行われ、日本も先日7つの都市への緊急事態宣言が発表されましたね。
この24時間生配信の日からもさらにたくさんの感染者が増え、たくさんの方が亡くなり、家にいることを余儀なくされた、または家にいる選択をする人が増えたと思います。
この24時間生配信のアーカイブについて、とても楽しかったし有意義な時間だったのは大前提として、途中ミスもあり完璧な出来ではありませんでした。なのでとても悩んだのですが、この日々刻々と変わる状況を受けて、アーカイブ全編を公開することは今私達にできることのうちのひとつなのではないかと思い、公開することにしました。
この動画が家に留まるひとつの理由になったり、この状況でも外に出て働いてくれている方々を励ますことができたり、いろいろなことを我慢している中での皆さんのストレスを少しでも和らげることができたらいいなと思っています。
楽しかった!って人、何が叫びたい思いがある人、頑張ろうぜ!って人、コメント欄にコメントしてってね!
そしてこの長い動画に字幕をつけてくれるという強靭な精神をお持ちの方はいらっしゃいませんでしょうか…!
いらっしゃいましたらぜひ、こちらのリンクから…お願いします!
https://www.youtube.com/timedtext_cs_panel?c=UCCIq0QBbH3UeWER_fLBbj2w&tab=2
Due to the spread of the virus, most of us are obliged or choosing to stay home, regardless of where you live. The Japanese government finally declared a state of emergency which will continue for a month starting from today, on 7 cities including Tokyo.
Things are changing and will continue to change day by day, and given this situation, we thought that to share the archive of the 24 hours livestream may be one thing that we can do.
We'd be happy if this video becomes one reason for someone to stay at home, encourages people who go to work for us outside today, and ease the tension under this circumstance.
Thank you as always, and please stay safe and healthy.
If you enjoyed this video, or want to shout your feelings out loud, leave a comment below!!
#卒業 #春ソング
オンラインコミュニティーPATREON ▶︎ https://www.patreon.com/KeiTakebuchiYAMO
【Stream and Download my songs!!】
IN THIS BLANKET ▶︎ https://linkco.re/y4z3tt5V
TORCH ▶︎ https://linkco.re/vYHNVsFs
LOVE ▶︎ https://linkco.re/0Ftr3g1N
Or download for free ▶︎ https://www.dropbox.com/sh/z7b0yxh8kwk78ws/AAABtRgVbMwtE1dbLjLRZyjEa?dl=0
MY MERCH ▶︎ https://keitakebuchi.booth.pm/
【竹渕慶 Kei Takebuchi】FOLLOW ME ON
Twitter ▶︎ https://twitter.com/keibambooty
Instagram ▶︎ https://www.instagram.com/keibamboo/
HP ▶︎ https://keitakebuchi.com/
【YAMO】 (クリエイティブパートナー/Creative Partner)
自宅で過ごすお楽しみになれば嬉しいです!そういえば今回は慶ちゃんにPremiere(映像編集ソフト)のショートカットキーを教えました。自宅にいる期間は勉強にもぴったりですね。
Hope our content entertains you through the quarantine. Kei is a fast learner and I taught her some shortcut keys of Premiere (the video editing software we use) to grind through this super long video. Staying safe at home is a great opportunity to learn something new.
Twitter ▶︎ https://twitter.com/YAMO_wbsb
Instagram ▶︎ https://www.instagram.com/yamo_wabisabi/
【Other Recommended Videos】
ASMR ▶︎ https://youtu.be/rJe4ebh2AFc
Torch ▶︎ https://youtu.be/y9ltZL5osBI
In This Blanket ▶︎ https://youtu.be/s9MXv28fJsY
「天気の子」Mash Up ▶︎https://youtu.be/ZcT2UOmcwIo
![post-title](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/g-5P2Nnef9A/hqdefault.jpg)
circumstance situation 在 竹渕慶 / Kei Takebuchi Youtube 的最讚貼文
【この動画は、3/20〜21に配信した24時間生配信のアーカイブ(前半)です!
This is an archive of the 24hours livestream we did in March.】
みなさん、お元気ですか?
世界中のあらゆる国で外出自粛やロックダウンが行われ、日本も先日7つの都市への緊急事態宣言が発表されましたね。
この24時間生配信の日からもさらにたくさんの感染者が増え、たくさんの方が亡くなり、家にいることを余儀なくされた、または家にいる選択をする人が増えたと思います。
この24時間生配信のアーカイブについて、とても楽しかったし有意義な時間だったのは大前提として、途中ミスもあり完璧な出来ではありませんでした。なのでとても悩んだのですが、この日々刻々と変わる状況を受けて、アーカイブ全編を公開することは今私達にできることのうちのひとつなのではないかと思い、公開することにしました。
この動画が家に留まるひとつの理由になったり、この状況でも外に出て働いてくれている方々を励ますことができたり、いろいろなことを我慢している中での皆さんのストレスを少しでも和らげることができたらいいなと思っています。
楽しかった!って人、何が叫びたい思いがある人、頑張ろうぜ!って人、コメント欄にコメントしてってね!
そしてこの長い動画に字幕をつけてくれるという強靭な精神をお持ちの方はいらっしゃいませんでしょうか…!
いらっしゃいましたらぜひ、こちらのリンクから…お願いします!
https://www.youtube.com/timedtext_cs_panel?c=UCCIq0QBbH3UeWER_fLBbj2w&tab=2
Due to the spread of the virus, most of us are obliged or choosing to stay home, regardless of where you live. The Japanese government finally declared a state of emergency which will continue for a month starting from today, on 7 cities including Tokyo.
Things are changing and will continue to change day by day, and given this situation, we thought that to share the archive of the 24 hours livestream may be one thing that we can do.
We'd be happy if this video becomes one reason for someone to stay at home, encourages people who go to work for us outside today, and ease the tension under this circumstance.
Thank you as always, and please stay safe and healthy.
If you enjoyed this video, or want to shout your feelings out loud, leave a comment below!!
#卒業 #春ソング
オンラインコミュニティーPATREON ▶︎ https://www.patreon.com/KeiTakebuchiYAMO
【Stream and Download my songs!!】
IN THIS BLANKET ▶︎ https://linkco.re/y4z3tt5V
TORCH ▶︎ https://linkco.re/vYHNVsFs
LOVE ▶︎ https://linkco.re/0Ftr3g1N
Or download for free ▶︎ https://www.dropbox.com/sh/z7b0yxh8kwk78ws/AAABtRgVbMwtE1dbLjLRZyjEa?dl=0
MY MERCH ▶︎ https://keitakebuchi.booth.pm/
【竹渕慶 Kei Takebuchi】FOLLOW ME ON
Twitter ▶︎ https://twitter.com/keibambooty
Instagram ▶︎ https://www.instagram.com/keibamboo/
HP ▶︎ https://keitakebuchi.com/
【YAMO】 (クリエイティブパートナー/Creative Partner)
この生配信は、配信クルーや音響業者を入れずに、友人宅から、自分たちだけで行っています。大規模な人数で集まらなくても発信できるエンタメがあり、つながれる場を作れると証明したかったからです。観ていた皆さまと、それ以上のことを証明できた気がします。Spread love.
This live stream was conducted all DIY by us and some friends. I wanted to prove that even through this isolated time, entertainment can be created, sent out, and bond us. I'm pretty sure we proved much more than that. Spread love.
Twitter ▶︎ https://twitter.com/YAMO_wbsb
Instagram ▶︎ https://www.instagram.com/yamo_wabisabi/
【Other Recommended Videos】
ASMR ▶︎ https://youtu.be/rJe4ebh2AFc
Torch ▶︎ https://youtu.be/y9ltZL5osBI
In This Blanket ▶︎ https://youtu.be/s9MXv28fJsY
「天気の子」Mash Up ▶︎https://youtu.be/ZcT2UOmcwIo
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circumstance situation 在 Bubzvlogz Youtube 的最佳貼文
So Isaac decides to give me a hair makeover. I loved it because it was so original even though it took a while to remove. All those hairs pulled out in the process was worth the sacrifice haha.
HI EVERYBODY! So your girl just got back from Ghana yesterday. WHAT AN INCREDIBLE TRIP. I cannot wait to edit ALL the footage and share the journey with you all. My connection was pretty much next to nothing in Ghana so I apologise for the absence of vlogs over the past week. I also realise I'm slightly backlogged but for now, enjoy this one.
Again, I would never ever disable my comments. Know that if the comments aren't available, it's not on me. I know the circumstance sucks but I have faith in the entire situation. Know you can ALWAYS find me on my social mediums aka Instagram, Twitter or Facebook (down below). As always, I'm thinking about and missing you!!
Love, your friend Bubz xo
Hi, I'm Lindy! Welcome to the Bubz family. I am a beauty, lifestyle and mommy vlogger. We make daily vlogs we call daily doses of happiness! Join us as we navigate this journey we call life and keep up with our crazy little family adventures. Be sure to SUBSCRIBE so we can continue to put a smile on your face. Do make new friends with fellow Bubscribers. I promise you they are the sweetest bunch ever! If you enjoyed today’s vlog, don’t forget to give it a LIKE.
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circumstance situation 在 situation / circumstance - 騷客。眼迷離。 - 痞客邦 的相關結果
騷客。眼迷離。 ... Which is right? ... 1. I cannot work under this situation. ... 2. I cannot work under these circumstances. ... <看更多>
circumstance situation 在 circumstance中文(繁體)翻譯:劍橋詞典 的相關結果
circumstance 的例句 ... In the circumstances, there is no affective orientation to the nation state, which is yet to become a national state. 來自Cambridge English ... ... <看更多>
circumstance situation 在 situation 和circumstance 有什麼不同? - Sammy 老師 的相關結果
The situation is out of control. circumstance 這個字在當”情況” 時, 要用複數, 而且搭配的介系詞是under circumstances 指的是外在種種條件和因素 ... ... <看更多>