關於 lure out ，我們在網路上蒐集到這些相關的討論、資訊與評價

Q: lure outKen Hunts Food 在Facebook 的評價

Its easy to miss Little Spicy Noodle House 小红面屋, a new noodle house found at the Teras Jaya shop lots (opposite to Chung Ling Butterworth). The noodle house seems ordinary from afar and there was no attractive elements on display to lure diners in but if you are a noodle lover, do not miss this place. The interior is as simple as its exterior- just the typical dining place with simple tables and chairs but the menu is extraordinary. The noodle menu is small but features something that cannot be found elsewhere. Its signature- Japanese Mazesoba is one of a kind with Japanese-Taiwanese elements. A worth checking out place in Butterworth for its delicious noodles and inexpensive price tags. Japanese Mazesoba (Rm 12)Sze Chuan Mazesoba (Rm 14)Little Spicy (Rm 5)Iced Black Tea (Rm 7)Address: No. 19 Ground Floor, Lorong Teras Jaya 9, Kawasan Perniagaan Teras Jaya, 13400, Butterworth, Penang.Business Hours: 12 pm to 8 pm. Closed on Thursdays.Contact Number: 6011- 5178 3370More information will be shared on Ken Hunts Food soon!

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lure out 在 Ken Hunts Food Facebook 的最讚貼文

By Ken Hunts Food

2021-01-13 11:48:00 有 2 人按讚

It's easy to miss Little Spicy Noodle House 小红面屋, a new noodle house found at the Teras Jaya shop lots (opposite to Chung Ling Butterworth). The noodle house seems ordinary from afar and there was no attractive elements on display to lure diners in but if you are a noodle lover, do not miss this place. The interior is as simple as its exterior- just the typical dining place with simple tables and chairs but the menu is extraordinary. The noodle menu is small but features something that cannot be found elsewhere. It's signature- Japanese Mazesoba is one of a kind with Japanese-Taiwanese elements. A worth checking out place in Butterworth for its delicious noodles and inexpensive price tags.

Japanese Mazesoba (Rm 12)
Sze Chuan Mazesoba (Rm 14)
Little Spicy (Rm 5)
Iced Black Tea (Rm 7)
Address: No. 19 Ground Floor, Lorong Teras Jaya 9, Kawasan Perniagaan Teras Jaya, 13400, Butterworth, Penang.
Business Hours: 12 pm to 8 pm. Closed on Thursdays.
Contact Number: 6011- 5178 3370

More information will be shared on Ken Hunts Food soon!

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Ken Hunts Food

About author

The blog records the journey of ken in finding wonderful and delicious food around penang island. This page isfor me to get connected with my friends on facebook, the actual description and blog entry will be on www.kenhuntfood.com

A food blog written by ken. The main website can be found at www.kenhuntfood.com This page is to let

lure out 在 Wak Doyok Facebook 的最佳解答

By Wak Doyok

2020-09-05 22:05:32 有 286 人按讚

The lure of the open road never goes out of style 🏍 #Triumph #Triumph5T

Tags: lure out Triumph Triumph5T

Wak Doyok

About author

WD JAMBANG VENTURES

lure out 在元毓 Facebook 的最佳解答

By 元毓

2020-05-16 12:54:46 有 353 人按讚

【美國失業人數破2千萬為何股市上漲？再來怎麼看？】

（文長圖多，建議點連結閱讀）

答案是因為通膨預期與病毒實質危害不大，分別解釋如下：

一、通膨預期

根據卡內基梅隆大學經濟學教授Allan Meltzer研究發現，1941年到1945年這段時間Fed採取的貨幣寬鬆政策，造成股市年複合成長率高達51.5%，但同時段CPI年複合增長率僅5%左右。這意味股價與實體經濟不但可以脫鉤，而且幅度也可以相當巨大，時間可以相當長。反之，從CPI去觀察通貨膨脹是無效且錯誤的，這一塊我會另以新文章解釋。

另一方面通貨膨脹不見得是一種「普遍性」現象均勻地發生在所有的貨物服務價格上，通常反而是存在「密度不同」現象-- 在不同資產類別上，各有不同的通膨效果，所謂Cantillon Effect是也。這個觀念我在好幾年前也談過，此不贅述。

貨幣理論大師Milton Friedman也分別從1920年代/1990年代的美國、與1980年代的日本，三個時期的研究證明貨幣總量的增加會顯著造成股市整體上漲。此外Friedman更進一步點出，當股市因泡沫破裂崩盤後，貨幣總量的增加或減少，會更進一步影響崩盤後的股價表現。

此次Covid-19疫情下，因政府選擇lockdown造成經濟全面停擺，美國Fed祭出前所未見的瘋狂印鈔救市（見圖一），其瘋狂程度大破歷史紀錄！

為何Fed如此瘋狂？請參見我之前寫過的三篇文章：

「利率倒掛與repo rate」

「為何此次崩盤黃金也跟著跌黃金不是避險工具嗎？」

「黃金與美國政府債券價格的現階段意義」

我在這三篇文章清楚解釋repo利率、十年國債利率乃至於美國地方政府債券利率等，都是3月份以來Fed必須強力壓抑以避免資產價格全面崩盤、美國州政府以下破產，人民也因利率飆漲房貸、車貸違約沖天被迫私人破產等恐怖惡性循環。尤以Fed針對持有美國國債的外國中央銀行快速設立FIMA Repo Facility用意最是明顯，足證Fed其實很害怕他國央行趁機在債券市場倒貨換現誘發美國國債利率飆升與流動性乾涸同時發生從而窒息美國經濟。

從經濟學理論看，Fed作為央行角色，除了快速擴大自身資產負債表以及破天荒新增注資管道之外，其實別無他法。真實世界我們也看到此次Fed諸多破天荒的措施，例如成立PMCCF & SMCCF、Main Street Lending Program、Municipal Liquidity Facility與直接購買ETF…等，金額也都是前無古人地幾千億、上兆美元狂灑。

這也表示Fed此次介入之廣、印鈔速度之快，與2008年金融危機時截然不同，自然也會在資產價格上產生不同效果。

總的來看，Fed透過上述債券或商業票券管道注資，過低的債券殖利率勢必壓擠市場原有資金尋找其他投資標的，因此可想而知對股市資產價格通膨預期會產生強大影響。

是的，根據I. Fisher的利息理論，股票資產價格應該是反映未來收入流折現之總和，W=I/r是也。但Fisher的利息理論並無貨幣因素考量。當通膨發生時，W的名義價格成長速度是可以抵過Income的悲觀預期改變。更何況，真實經濟並未因Covid-19重創，我放到第二點談。

順道一提，價值投資這個投資方法究其核心邏輯完全忽略了「貨幣因素」如此重要的侷限條件，而這是個大問題。也正因為如此，價值投資奉行者一旦碰上貨幣現象強烈變化時就容易手足無措、不知如何處置。這在2008年後的十年來最為明顯，就連巴菲特1965年以來的驚人長期績效也在近十年越趨平淡。（見表）

我認為與資金數額大過一定量後，轉受到『邊際生產力遞減』的影響也有關係，但正也因為巴菲特手頭資金夠大，他主要用來降低股票買入成本的手法（特別股議價機會與股票選擇權操作）方可實施。所以要精準分析出貨幣因素與巴菲特80%價值投資之間的相互影響關係，我認為不容易且工程浩大。如果讀者有興趣，有機會我再詳談巴菲特怎麼用比市價更低的方式買入股票。

從投資角度與更進階的經濟學角度看，Fed如此高強度介入債券乃至於他種證券（股票、商業票券）市場的貨幣政策，也會讓傳統以長短期債券利率差預估通貨膨脹率等總體經濟學常見手法通通失效，這意味著價格理論基礎薄弱、只會墨守成規的所謂財經專家們將跌破更多副眼鏡。這是說檯面上很多股民追捧的某些大師關於總體經濟之看法、言論、備忘錄…，都只是一些大師自己也不知道說什麼的扯淡。

二、病毒危害小於政府封鎖危害，因此恆久收入預期影響不大

截至5/15，全球因Covid-19死亡人數約30萬人，然而1957年與1968年各有兩次殺死全球百萬人以上的流感，但從S&P500指數歷史來看，兩次更嚴重的流感卻未造成股價崩盤（見圖）。

根據WHO統計，2016年全球死於呼吸道感染（今年流行的Covid-19就會被歸類為此分類）就有295萬人（見表），每十萬人死亡數是39.63人（CDR, Crude Death Rate）。目前美國可算是世界疫情最嚴重的地區之一，然而相較於2016年來看，目前美國Covid-19的CDR數值是每十萬人死亡26.2人。事實上並非特別嚴重的傳染病，但卻造成遠比過去更嚴重疫情下還大的經濟損失？

如同我在4/12「Michael Burry與我所見略同」一文中談過：

「政府過度干預封鎖防疫的代價可能比什麼都不做還高！」，並以大蕭條、2008年金融風暴時期的自殺率為參考，認為：

「…自殺人數與病死人數邏輯上不應該只是相比，而是要相加。這是說，即便高度管制下最後COVID-19在美國僅造成等同流感的病死數（約5.5萬人），但若因高度管制造成的經濟衰退自殺人數等同2008年，則每十萬人死亡人數相加後仍達16.88人，恰好約莫等於我假設的狀況一死亡人數。這意味著高度管制下死亡人數有可能等於什麼都不做。…」

而許多研究逐漸指出，Covid-19實際感染人數恐怕遠高於目前所知，這反推回來，此病的CDR數值會比目前所知還低。

再看看德國，從疫情爆發以來德國政府採取民間工廠可自行決定是否繼續營運的政策，80％的私營工廠也如此選擇。

有意思的是，這些德國工廠如何做到儘量降低員工罹病風險的前提下維持日常生產活動？答案是：「向中國學習！」例如德國第一大汽車集團Volkswagen AG就向中國工廠學習引入「100條管理規則」，從工人防護服、員工餐廳安排到工作流水線安排、如何檢測排除可能罹病者與罹病員工安排…等等。這股向中國工廠學習風潮讓Winfried Imminger這家公司在Mulfingen的工廠3800多名員工迄今只有8人確診並隔離，也讓多數德國工廠可以維持疫情爆發前70~80%的生產力。

這個例證也使我相信，疫情平緩之後的世界並不會有翻天覆地的改變。是的，為了避免疫情再起，許多與過去不同的措施，尤其是個人防護配備、社交距離（social distance）或公共交通站點/工作/娛樂場所監控體溫等等會實施，但我相信因此而提高的整體社會費用並不會比911恐怖攻擊後全球反恐措施來得高。

因此我們即便看到現時經濟因政府干預而停止運作的收入損失似乎巨大，但也僅止於現時。當多數國家解禁（事實上連美國也不顧疫情開始解禁）後，未來收入流的負面影響是相當有限。

有人會問：可是眼下美國2千多萬人失業是鐵錚錚的事實啊？！

1.買出來的失業人數

我在前述「Michael Burry與我所見略同」一文也談過，2017～2018年的美國流感疫情導致81萬人住院、6.1萬人死亡，但同期失業率卻是一路下降，足證明單一傳染病本身並不會造成失業。美國現在破歷史紀錄的2千萬人失業是政府兩大舉措造成：

(1) lockdown

從制度經濟學角度看，當市場需求曲線快速向左下移動時，如果成交價格沒有彈性，則市場會以unemployment呈現：於物是滯銷、於資金是爛頭寸、於人則是失業。

這個觀念我十幾年來談過無數次，可自行參閱舊文如：「拯救失業率，我們需要的刪減失業補助！（2014）」

佐以美國工會、勞動保護法規、最低工資限制等等箝制契約自由的政府干預，面對這種政府強制暫停經濟活動的舉措，大量無薪假與失業是必然，根據價格理論原理，尤以邊際租值低的勞工為甚，這點我們也可以從美國勞動部對4月份失業統計看出，餐飲服務業失業率從去年同期4.5％暴增至39.3％；但相對邊際租值較高的金融服務業則從2.1％升至5.4％。（見表）

學歷越差者，失業率越高（見圖）

(2) 過於優渥的失業補助

早在上個月我就從美國營運餐廳的友人處聽得：「這麼多人失業，怎麼餐廳還找不到員工？」的矛盾現象。

後來一查發現某些州的雙重失業補助（州政府+聯邦政府）與因疫情的從寬認定下，一名週薪$600美元的勞工失業後可能領到超過$1200元的補助，而且起碼領到7月底沒問題。失業還領更多？根據經濟學定律申請失業補助者大增完全是情理之中。

後來更看到華爾街日報報導，某些小企業的員工主動跟雇主達成協議，透過「輪流失業」讓公司內的雇員「人人有失業補助領」。

與此同時我們也看到，美國為了保障中小企業繼續聘僱員工的「Paycheck Protect Program (PPP)」條件是該企業領取貸款後必須「繼續聘僱員工」方能獲得債務豁免。然而許多企業卻因lockdown無法營業，繼續聘僱不能來上班的勞工對企業毫無誘因，使得企業乾脆選擇結束營業而非申請補助。這一塊又加重失業人數之增加。這也造成美國國會雖然在4/27緊急增加$3700億美元補助金，但迄今卻出現40%閒置無人申請的矛盾現象。再一次證明「政府本身就是問題，政府無法解決問題」。

這是說，看似嚇破膽的歷史紀錄2千多萬人首次申請失業補助的背後，並非病毒導致而是美國政府干預創造出來的怪獸。因此不管Covid-19引起的疫情是否取得「曲線平緩（flatten the curve）」，只要干預拿掉，經濟都會逐步恢復原狀。

2.低廉的石油價格有助於實體經濟

疫情前全球每日石油需求約1億桶，其中約60%用於燃料用途。疫情後，全球燃油消費大減，例如某些航班數減少9成，路上行車數量也大減。這些同樣是因政府干預限制，並非因疫情本身。

先前西德州石油期貨價格在結算前下殺至負數，我認為屬於一堆不黯遊戲規則的抄底散戶因無力真實點交原油而被痛宰的意外事件。要知道，西德州石油期貨契約是包含delivery條款，一方可以真實要求點交原油：

「Delivery Procedure:

Delivery shall be made free-on-board ("F.O.B.") at any pipeline or storage facility in Cushing, Oklahoma with pipeline access to Enterprise, Cushing storage or Enbridge, Cushing storage. Delivery shall be made in accordance with all applicable Federal executive orders and all applicable Federal, State and local laws and regulations.

At buyer's option, delivery shall be made by any of the following methods: (1) by interfacility transfer ("pumpover") into a designated pipeline or storage facility with access to seller's incoming pipeline or storage facility; (2) by in-line (or in-system) transfer, or book-out of title to the buyer; or (3) if the seller agrees to such transfer and if the facility used by the seller allows for such transfer, without physical movement of product, by in-tank transfer of title to the buyer.」

石油現貨價格的確因中東局勢與lockdown大幅下跌，可不至於到暗無天日，如台灣商周聲稱「石油紀元結束」那般悲觀。

事實上我們看到有能力儲存石油的業者租下大量油輪滿載原油漂浮在海上（見圖）；又有人大量租賃游泳池簡易改裝後注滿石油（見圖）；也有人使用大型填充包儲存石油（見圖）。這些行為均代表某種對未來收入樂觀的預期，才會於此時真金白銀下賭注。

另一個重點，是延續前一點的經濟邏輯 -- 如果市場價格有下修彈性，則unemployment就不容易出現，市場就能清市。延伸來說，任何生產要素如果能在景氣下行時價格能下修，則代表該社會整體制度的交易費用低於價格較無彈性的制度。此點會在景氣落底回升時在生產力與創造財富效率上呈現高低差異。

當然，從更根本角度看，市場只要能自願地employment，無論價格多低，都勝過非自願unemployment。前者對保護未來收入預期與財富損失上都更有利。這兩點會影響股票債券價格，投資者必須注意。

三、近期應注意：

a. 卡債、房貸的違約率

雖然我們知道美國卡債違約率2016年以來就逐步攀升至2019年Q4的2.61％，尚遠低於2009年近7%。房貸違約率2019年末也是樂觀的數字，但Fed公開的統計資料始終是落後指標。

因此我們需要參考更即時的數據，可債券市場因此次Fed霹靂手段干預之下，我認為無論國債、地方債乃至於高債信公司債的利率都存在一定程度的扭曲。這又回到經濟學理論的老生常談：政府干預市場利率的下場必然增加市場活動參與者對未來收入流預估的訊息費用。

投資人無可避免要學會與之共處，同時透過加強自身經濟邏輯與知識廣度來降低費用。

我自己會轉向參考其他數據或真實經濟現象，比方我們可以在排除貨幣流速影響下，從特定經濟活動的速率變化推估真實利率邊際變化，這是高階的利息理論應用，要深談得寫本書，此處點到為止。我只是要點出這種難度較高的經濟邏輯，坊間多數財經專家連邊都碰不上，甚至連感知這類概念存在的能力都不具備，因此多數人的財經建議也就毫無參考性可言。

退而求其次，又或者可以參考repo利率與低信評公司債殖利率。

b.Collateralized Loan Obligation （見圖）

談到低信評公司債就多說兩句CLO（Collateralized Loan Obligation）。與債信較低的槓桿債（leverage loan）包裹連結的CLO在美國總市場規模從2007年的＄3270億增長至2019年底的＄6910億美元，CLO如果發生崩盤，那將會是2008年金融危機CDO的翻版，而當年CDO全球市場規模在$4千多億美元。CLO背後連結的槓桿債規模也達$1.2兆美元。

槓桿債很常發生在槓桿併購（LBO, leveraged buyout），簡單說就是某A想買下B公司，但又不想出錢或資金不足。於是以B公司的未來收益或資產為擔保，向銀行C借錢併購B。對，你沒看錯，是以「B公司的未來收益或資產」為擔保，不是A自己。這種併購方式通常會帶來高負債比甚至伴隨高利率，實務上發動併購方可以只出一成的資金，就買下十倍大的對手，所以才叫「槓桿（leverage）」。

這種併購方式在順風順水的年代可以快速擴充，但一旦出現市場整體流動性枯竭與景氣反轉，也死得特別快。讀者還記得我「利率倒掛與repo rate」一文提到去年九月的詭異repo rate飆升，就滿足了「流動性枯竭」這第一要件，子彈已然上膛。Covid-19引發的政府強制經濟活動停滯則很有可能是扣下扳機的那隻手。

然而，若僅僅是單純的LBO，破產者就侷限在A與相關金融往來對象，還算是「個體風險」。但如同2008金融風暴那錯綜複雜的CDO金融產品一樣，CLO把LO重新包裹證券化後，又把個體風險搞成系統風險。

可能不熟悉金融的讀者會疑惑：這些有錢人高來高去的資產價格崩盤於我何干？

以Envision Healthcare這家美國大型醫療機構為例，2018年KKR透過槓桿債的方式全盤買下Envision醫院體系，但Covid-19後美國流動性枯竭，造成短期利率與垃圾債券利率飆升，瞬間讓Envision現金短缺甚有破產危機，結果就是在面對Covid-19疫情加速惡化的四月，Envision旗下醫院急診室不但沒有防護裝備給第一線醫護人員，也因付不出薪資、獎金而大幅刪減急診室人力。與Envision槓桿債掛勾的CLO也是前途無亮等著被降信用評等。然而，信用評等降級對這些本就採取高槓桿債務併購的公司等於是雨天收傘，進一步惡化其財務與現金短缺狀況，對美國第一線疫情防護恐怕雪上加霜。

再把視角轉到日本，農林中央金庫（Norinchukin Bank）是日本最大吸收農漁民存款的金融機構，同時也是世界最大CLO買方，2008年後累積購入金額達$750億美元。一旦CLO市場如2008年的CDO市場一樣轉瞬崩潰，則日本普遍高齡的農漁民生計與財富損失，以及對日本經濟的連鎖效應可想而知。目前尚可安心的是，農林中央金庫只購入安全等級最高的CLO。

可另一方面，也正因為Covid-19帶來的經濟停滯，許多優良債務人紛紛出現無力支付本金利息的現象，從而引發評價機構紛紛下調CLO內含債權的評等，例如Moody在4月中調降高達$220億美元CLO的評等，加上S&P，二家機構合起來降評了20％美國境內發行CLO。這直接影響了持有美國境內40% BBB等級CLO tranches的各大保險公司，這可能意味保險公司資產價格重挫下履行保險契約支付賠償金的能力也可能縮水。

若美國許多受感染者或其他疾病患者發現即便自己購買了昂貴的醫療保險，但保險公司支付卻可能無力支付醫療費用時，接下來會發生什麼事？

這一整段有關CLO的敘述只是美國盤根錯節的金融契約結構中的一個切面，但我相信已經能讓讀者感受到「牽一髮而動全身」的可怕。

從這點我們也不難理解，為何身為美國最大「再保險」集團之一的主事人巴菲特在此時選擇提高並保持現金水位，特別是大量賣出08年以優惠價格條件買入的Goldman Sachs超過1千萬股（$17億美元）。

結論：

我認為美國股市未來相當長時間就會在「通膨預期」與「未來收入預期」兩股力量拉扯推擠走下去。二者可以是同方向或反方向。因為「市場預期」這看不見摸不著的東西很難建立具有科學預測力的經濟理論。

我不認為真實世界的生產力受到病毒摧殘，而是受到政府干預干擾。可是一旦悲觀預期形成，資產價格下修的可能性會存在。而美國複雜交錯的金融制度可能把個體風險放大為系統性風險，這在2008年發生過一次，如今不是不可能再從CLO引爆歷史重演。

誠如我前兩日談過如何從價格理論快速看國富增長，美國主要靠服務業（特別是金融服務）這種架空經濟要持續運作的前提是基於深度全球化分工。根據Adam Smith的國富論，全球市場分工越多元、越細緻、越深入，世界整體財富增長速度越快，當然走虛擬金融經濟為主的美國也會因上頭租值佔比高而享受更高的財富增速。

反之，美國如果自己跑出來反全球化，那死得最慘的是自己。

又，當今的貨幣政策會大幅增加訊息費用，判斷真實利率的難度大增，考驗投資者對價格理論、利息理論的熟稔與精通程度。

一般投資人對於真實世界關鍵侷限條件與轉變的掌握程度會直接影響可選擇投資方法。指數型ETF這種放棄思考的被動投資或許還是適合多數人。

通貨膨脹下如何投資？另作文章說明。

本文參考資料：

WSJ: "The Federal Reserve Is Changing What It Means to Be a Central Bank" (2020-04-27)

Milton Friedman, "A Natural Experiment in Money Policy Covering Three Episodes of Growth and Decline in the Economy and the Stock Market" Journal of Economic Perspective, Vol. 19, (Fall 2005)

Allan H. Meltzer, "Current Lessons From The Past: How The Fed Repeats Its History." Cato Journal, Vol 34, No. 3 (Fall 2014)

Financial Times: "Coronavirus crisis: does value investing still make sense?"(2020-05-11)

WSJ: "New Data Suggest the Coronavirus Isn’t as Deadly as We Thought" (2020-04-17)

WSJ: "Why Doesn’t Flu Tank Economy Like Covid-19?"(2020-04-10)

WSJ: "Demand for Small-Business Loans Cools" (2020-05-08)

WSJ: "How Germany Kept Its Factories Open During the Pandemic" (2020-05-06)

WSJ: "Paying Americans Not to Work" (2020-04-22)

WSJ: "Businesses Struggle to Lure Workers Away From Unemployment" (2020-05-08)

WSJ: "Demand for Small-Business Loans Cools"(2020-05-08)

A. A. Alchian,"Information Costs, Pricing, and Resource Unemployment" (1969)

WSJ: "Millions of Credit-Card Customers Can’t Pay Their Bills. Lenders Are Bracing for Impact." (2020-04-25)

Financial Times: "CLOs: ground zero for the next stage of financial crisis?" (2020-05-13)

Financial Times: "Private-equity backed companies dominate lowest depths of junk" (2020-05-07)

Financial Times: "Coronavirus sell-off puts faith in CLOs to the test" (2020-04-23)

Financial Times: "Warren Buffett’s Berkshire dumps most of Goldman Sachs stake" (2020-05-16)

文章連結：

https://bit.ly/3bDEM3E

Tags: lure out

元毓

About author

元毓說粉絲頁美國法學碩士，智財權、競爭法與法律經濟分析專業。分享20年投資經驗所得之經濟學體悟。

lure out 在 BrandonTan91 Youtube 的最佳解答

By BrandonTan91

2021-06-16 21:00:16 有 91,217 人看過有 3,632 人喜歡

Using the special lure modules at a spot with 4 Pokestops, I wanted to see what I will get out of using each one of them for an entire day. This is the result after catching Pokemon using the lure modules for 24 hours straight.

Join me as I travel, eat and play Pokémon GO the way a local trainer would in their own country and city. Visiting one country and one city at at time through Pokémon GO.

Subscribe if you would like to watch my Pokémon GO travel adventure as I visit different countries, cities and communities, https://tinyurl.com/y65jruw2

Social:
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/brandontan91/
TWITTER: https://twitter.com/brwandontan91

Vlogging Set-Up:
Camera - Sony RX 100 Mark 7
Mic - Rode VideoMicro
Screen Recorder - iPad Mini 5

Pokémon is Copyright Gamefreak, Nintendo and The Pokémon Company 2001-2016

All images and names owned and trademarked by Nintendo, Niantic, The Pokémon Company, and Gamefreak are property of their respective owners.

BrandonTan91

About author

Hi, I'm Brandon Tan, not Brandon Ten. I produce Pokémon GO videos with high level gameplay, and tips on how to improve your experience too. I also do Pokémon GO travel vlogs where I travel from one country to another to experience how the local Pokémon GO trainers play Pokémon GO. Pokémon GO is a lifestyle, my lifestyle.

lure out 在 BrandonTan91 Youtube 的最佳解答

By BrandonTan91

2021-05-12 21:00:34 有 82,138 人看過有 3,414 人喜歡

A brand new special lure module has been introduced to Pokémon GO. In this video, we test out the new rainy lure module to discover what kind of Pokémon spawns from it while I explain how the other special lures work all together.

Join me as I travel, eat and play Pokémon GO the way a local trainer would in their own country and city. Visiting one country and one city at at time through Pokémon GO.

Subscribe if you would like to watch my Pokémon GO travel adventure as I visit different countries, cities and communities, https://tinyurl.com/y65jruw2

Social:
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/brandontan91/
TWITTER: https://twitter.com/brwandontan91

Vlogging Set-Up:
Camera - Sony RX 100 Mark 7
Mic - Rode VideoMicro
Screen Recorder - iPad Mini 5

Pokémon is Copyright Gamefreak, Nintendo and The Pokémon Company 2001-2016

All images and names owned and trademarked by Nintendo, Niantic, The Pokémon Company, and Gamefreak are property of their respective owners.

BrandonTan91

About author

lure out 在 SNOWSTORM Youtube 的最佳貼文

By SNOWSTORM

2021-01-31 12:00:02 有 112 人看過有 5 人喜歡

Lyrics:
I’m trapped oh I’m trapped
I’m trapped oh I’m trapped

Hey
Cappucino in the hand
有多少人要跟我slow dance
走不回就回去repent
就是你的错就是你的苟且

反复工作做每日夜
对别人的迁就是金钱
全部人都看着你的事业线
没有S就当作没遇见

眼看上下看着你的琵琶
瘦身药就在你的皮夹
我的快乐究竟还在哪
我的superman他来了吗

我累了吗我到底还有多长
我想吃我的寿司和鸡扒
也想融进狭窄的金框
不知道我要的是什么我爱的还在吗

I’m trapped, I’m trapped
I’m trapped, I’m trapped

I’m trapped in the darkness,
Trapped in the void,
Trapped in the sickness,
Trapped like your toy

I’m trapped in your love,
Trapped in the future,
Trapped in the snowstorm,
Trapped in your lure.

还有多少人在挣扎
看着世界却在崩塌
脸上的笑脸，内心已绝
被谎言掩盖了视线

I want a real way out
没有什么危机或全套
就乘几十年乘我们的年少
不做就后悔到老

They say you’re full of excuses and muses,
You’re one of the fakers, faking accuses,
Other than your love words, I try hard to make it blur
Go on, move on, trapped in your love

我累了吗我到底还有多长
眼前是什么我究竟还在哪
说什么愿望，说什么梦想
不知道我要的是什么我爱的还在吗

Trap beat from:
https://youtu.be/3Paa8LqIbWo

SNOWSTORM

About author

Secret diary of mine. Except that my diary entries are songs and not words! Subscribe for more! https://linktr.ee/sarahkoay

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#44. lure out - Türkçe İngilizce Sözlük - Tureng

Tureng Dictionary and Translation Ltd. Kelimeleri mesleki alanlarına göre arayabilir, 4 dilde 9 farklı aksan dinleyebilir, giriş ekleyebilir ve ...

#45. Saints Tried To Lure Drew Brees Out Of Retirement, Also ...

Saints Tried To Lure Drew Brees Out Of Retirement, Also Called Philip Rivers & Josh McCown. By. Nate Bouda. -. December 25, 2021. Jeff Duncan of the ...

#46. how do I lure out a cockroach that is hiding? - Quora

So one thing you might try is shining a powerful torch into the hole it's hiding in. This won't so much lure it out as chase it out though, and it is going to ...

#47. States dole out mega-subsidies in bid to lure companies

States dole out mega-subsidies in bid to lure companies. By Reid Wilson 175 Tweet Share More. State governments are spending parts of their ...

#48. Firefighters use duck calls from YouTube to lure frightened ...

A first responder played duck sounds on his cellphone to coax frightened ducklings out of a storm drain pipe. South Metro Fire Rescue.

#49. Oxford school shooting: Gunman 'tried to lure students out of ...

A suspected school shooter tried to lure fellow students to their deaths by posing as a cop and telling them it was safe to come out.

#50. Orrville police search for man who tried to lure children out a ...

ORRVILLE – City police are searching for a suspicious man in a red coat who they say tried to lure two children out a window of their home.

#51. Spanish Translation of “lure” - Collins Dictionary

Spanish Translation of “lure” | The official Collins English-Spanish Dictionary ... Out-of-town stores continue to lure shoppers away from town centres.

#52. How to place a Lure in Pokémon Go | iMore

Why is my Lure Module grayed out? Why can't I place a Lure? We show you how!

#53. Lure out the Claw of Jormag by destroying the final dragon ...

Lure out the Claw of Jormag by destroying the final dragon crystal is a level 80 group event that occurs in Frostwalk Tundra. Lure out the Claw of Jormag by ...

#54. How to Judge Trolling Lure Depth | FishTalk Magazine

You heard from a reliable source that the fish were running about 20 feet below the surface last week. Accordingly, you're going to A) let your lines out ...

#55. 無題

5-year warranty backed by St. Also the most difficult lure to master and ... Shimano Sojourn Muskie Casting Rod - The Sojourn Musky rods are built out of ...

#56. a.lure is an award winning Downtown Savannah Restaurant ...

As a great Downtown Savannah GA restaurant, A.lure is an award winning restaurant showcasing local, seafood, low country, cuisine in an eclectic new way.

#57. Opinion: Bronfman strikes out in bid to lure pro baseball back ...

MLB rejected a proposal for the Tampa Bay Rays to play half of its home games in Montreal at a new baseball stadium in the city.

#58. Product | Textiles | Span 006 Lure - Maharam

466395–006 Lure. 50% Solution-Dyed Nylon, 50% Solution-Dyed Post-Industrial Recycled Nylon 100,000 double rubs Wyzenbeek. $58.00 / yard.

#59. Lure | GTA Wiki

Lure the dealer into the open and take him out. Leave the rooftop. Walkthrough. Niko drives to a ...

#60. Policies and Terms - The Lure Resort

Campfires. If you plan to have a campfire, NEVER leave it unattended and ensure it is completely out before leaving the area or going to bed. Fires ...

#61. Drones with sausages lure missing dog out of danger - The ...

When Millie the Jack Russell slipped her lead and disappeared close to dangerous mudflats a rescue operation involving the coastguard, ...

#62. 92 Synonyms & Antonyms for LURE | Thesaurus.com

Find 92 ways to say LURE, along with antonyms, related words, and example sentences at Thesaurus.com, the world's most trusted free thesaurus.

#63. Chinese Idiomatic Stories- Lure the Tiger out of the Mountains

Learn Chinese idioms stories for free. This Chinese idiom story lure the tiger out of the mountains” means luring or manipulating others ...

#64. Animal rescuers try every trick to lure bull out of hiding in Suffolk

Now, a cow named Norma Jean was unloaded in Manorville Wednesday evening in hopes of luring out the bull. Frankie Floridia, of Strong Island ...

#65. Salmo floating hornet colors. Det här betet kommer att ...

The World ranks the Salmo Hornet as one of the best lures of all time. ... Color * Out of stock If you are looking for a lure that can catch anything that ...

#66. Aotearoa's first entirely natural, cost effective long-life lure

Boffa Miskell biosecurity consultant Dr Helen Blackie set out to develop a long-life lure that would increase the efficiency and ...

#67. What happens when a pike swims off with your lure? - CBC

Carleton study shows fish can dislodge a deep hooked lure in days ... And deeply hooked [lures] also came out relatively quickly, ...

#68. The Risks of Cheap Out-of-the-Money Options - Investopedia

The Lure of Out-of-the-Money Options. Call Options. A call option provides the buyer the right, but not the ...

#69. Thieves use trick to lure drivers out of vehicles | FOX 2

EAST ST. LOUIS (KTVI) – If you see someone lying in the middle of the road, you might park your car and get out, to make sure he or she is ...

#70. Best way to lure out a rogue hamster? - Reddit

So, what is the best way to lure him out / find him, as I've never had to search for an escaped hamster before. Thanks!

#71. Lure of the North - Specializing in traditional winter travel ...

Running our business out of a remote off-grid cabin means it's not so easy to get staff in here to keep things running all winter! Sooooo… No pressure…. But ...

#72. Rams lure Eric Weddle out of retirement for postseason run

Rams lure Eric Weddle out of retirement for postseason run ... GLENDALE, AZ - DECEMBER 01: Los Angeles Rams free safety Eric Weddle (32. Veteran ...

#73. PoaUku - 10 pack - Connovation

(Due to high demand, the PoaUku lures have been sold out. ... PoaUku are premium, long life, high-quality lures with proven attractiveness for rats, poss.

#74. Fishing Lures - Koala Outdoor

Koala Outdoor stocks a wide range of Lures that are sure to better your fishing game. ... Sold Out. Bundle of 6 Segment Live Action Jointed Fishing Lures.

#75. OutCast Lures

OutCast Lures LLC is a custom wooden lure manufacturer based in Massachusetts. Our products are handmade saltwater fishing plugs in a variety of styles for ...

#76. Michigan school shooting: Video footage shows plain clothes ...

... shooting suspect attempting to lure students out of classrooms, ... classroom as the gunman is apparently outside in the hallways.

#77. Hunters using Calvin Klein cologne to lure out killer tiger

Hunters tracking a tiger feared to have killed 14 people in India are using Calvin Klein perfume to snare the maneater.

#78. 'It's wild out there': crypto firms lure top bankers in price boom

'It's wild out there': crypto firms lure top bankers in price boom. Executives poached from big groups including Goldman Sachs and hedge ...

#79. Jeff Duncan: A Christmas miracle? The Saints tried to lure ...

Trying to lure Brees out of retirement for a playoff spark was admittedly a long shot. Brees has said repeatedly that he is enjoying his ...

#80. Make a Survival Fishing Lure Out of Paracord - Field & Stream

In a pinch, you can fashion an effective fishing lure or fly out of a short strand of parachute cord, a long-shanked fish hook, and a lighter or ...

#81. Making A Lure Out Of A Stick & Catching Fish WIth It! - Tackle ...

I therefore decided to carve a simple topwater, walk-the-dog lure out of a wooden stick I found outside. Please let me know what you think.

#82. lure out - Tłumaczenie po polsku - Słownik angielsko-polski Diki

remove, lure out - tłumaczenie na polski oraz definicja. Co znaczy i jak powiedzieć "remove, lure out" po polsku? - wywabiać, wywabić.

#83. Florida official tries to lure In-N-Out Burger to Sunshine state in ...

Gov. Gavin Newsom has indicated he doesn't have beef with In-N-Out. KRON4 reports today that Gov. Newsom was asked about the sanctions ...

#84. Michigan school shooter, 15, tried to lure students out - Daily ...

Police responded to reports of an active shooter at Oxford High School, in a suburb north of Detroit. They said four to six people are ...

#85. Wigston's Lures - The Offical Online Home of The Iconic ...

Discover this iconic fishing lure loved locally and internationally for all fishing types including inland. ... Check Order Status; Log In | Log Out.

#86. My "lure out monster" monster disappeared - Steam Community

My "lure out monster" monster disappeared. is this normal? do they disappear after a certain ammount of time or missions if you don't use ...

#87. In-N-Out Burger to Florida? CFO Jimmy Patronis hopes to lure ...

In-N-Out Burger to Florida? CFO Jimmy Patronis hopes to lure chain from California. Patronis looks to capitalize on burger chain's conflict with ...

#88. How To Lure A Spider Out Of Hiding In 3 Easy Ways - How To ...

Spiders are shy. To avoid human contact spiders hide in the most inaccessible places in your home. Find out how to lure a spider out of hiding with 3 easy ...

#89. Saints tried to lure Drew Brees out of retirement ... - FanSided

The New Orleans Saints are starting rookie Ian Book at quarterback this week against the Miami Dolphins. Because of this, they reached out ...

#90. The Truth About Leaving A Fishing Lure In A Fish's Mouth ...

Want to know what happens to a fish when you can't get a hook out of it's mouth? See the research that shows you the truth about deeply hooked fish.

#91. Harness the power of special new lures, and meet more ...

Soon you'll be able to harness the power of Glacial Lure Modules, Mossy Lure Modules, ... The only way to find out is to get out and GO!

#92. Flamingo Joe Scented Paddletail Lure - Salt Strong

When we were pouring your light pink F.R.E.D lures, we accidentally added in some extra pigment that turned the ... Regular Pack (7 Lures) - OUT OF STOCK.

#93. Lure 11.5 V2 - Feelfree Kayaks

tired of fishing out of sit in kayak. Brian 12 months ago. Great reviews. Michael 12 months ago ...

#94. Adelaide man jailed for using Grindr to lure boy out of child ...

A 16-year-old Adelaide boy in state care, who was lured by an older man online and then sexually abused, has been left "embarrassed" and is ...

#95. The Lure of the Forest: Oral Histories from the National ...

The next day , we came out of there . They evacuated the camp and then they came back again . The fire had jumped the river and had gone to the south .

#96. The Lure - Google 圖書結果

Look at Mirella Trent. She worked three months as a guard in a women's prison for her book. And it turned out to be the best one we've done in the series.

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